As usual, mr fatih birol is pretty optimistic about the future. For detailed discussion see the weo2015 publications on iea web site. Natural gas had a remarkable year in 2018, with a 4. The usa would even produce more oil than saudi arabia. There are different ways to improve energy efficiency. Yesterday, 12 november, 20, the iea launched its 20 world energy outlook.
Its prospects and contribution are presented in a dedicated chapter. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agency s flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. Oil, coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear power are all covered, together with an update on climate change issues. The 2012 edition of the world energy outlook was released on 12 november and presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect. The international energy agency iea, in its latest world energy outlook weo 2014, warns that longterm oil supplies are far from secure, with the middle east reestablishing itself as the main. The international energy agency iea released the 20 edition of their world energy outlook weo20.
It is iea flagship publication and is the worlds most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. Use the link below to share a fulltext version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. It interacts with the global economic and social issues as well as future environmental and developmental considerations. Improving energy efficiency means getting more from the energy that we use. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication. Nov 09, 2011 world energy outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. Eseia summer school sustainable smart metropolitan regions. Eia published an early release version of the aeo2012 reference case in january 2012. Why the ieas 2012 world energy outlook could be wrong. A need for a lowcarbon world has added a new challenging dimension for the longterm energy scenarios development. New iea analysis finds that globally, the oil and gas industry can feasibly reduce up. Iea world energy outlook 2010 november 10, 2010 don the international energy agencys iea 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo was released overnight.
The annual energy outlook 2012 aeo2012, prepared by the u. Global coal demand is forecast to remain stable over the next five years as declines in europe and north america are offset by strong growth in india and southeast asia. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. The international energy agency iea launched its 2012 edition of the world energy outlook weo. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. It goes beyond a mere energy report or outlook predictions. Energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use.
World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special. Researchfilespapers201404africa%20china%20policy%20sun. What unlocking the purely economic potential for energy efficiency could do, countrybycountry and sectorbysector, for energy markets, the economy and the environment the iraqi energy sector, examining both its importance in satisfying the countrys own needs and its crucial role in meeting global oil and gas demand the water energy nexus, as water resources become increasingly.
Columbia university ieo2014 september 22, 2014 16 history. It demonstrates how technologies from electric vehicles to smart grids can make a decisive difference in achieving the objective of limiting the global temperature rise to 2c and enhancing energy security. Initiative partnership dialogue facility euei pdf and barefoot college, which trains. The report presents a central scenario in which global energy demand rises by onethird in by 2035. Energyintensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy.
The first time that the iea world energy outlook report has. Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers. The international energy agency iea provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 world energy outlook weo. Fatih birol iea chief economist rome, 14 december 2012. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. The iea world energy outlook was published the 12th of november. Iea world energy outlook 2012 ecoglobe sustainability. To this end, the iea energy data centre provides the world s most authoritative and comprehensive source of global.
These issues and many more are discussed here, with a special focus on india accompanying the customary, indepth weo analysis of the prospects for all fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency around the world to 2040. The iea is at the heart of the global energy dialogue. What unlocking the purely economic potential for energy efficiency could do, countrybycountry and sectorbysector, for energy markets, the economy and the environment the iraqi energy sector, examining both its importance in satisfying the countrys own needs and its crucial role in meeting global oil and gas demand the waterenergy nexus, as water. World energy outlook 2012 analysis and key findings. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015. This groundbreaking special report launched ahead of the full world energy outlook 2016 provides. World energy outlook 2012 andrew leung international. The international energy agency the iea, which was established in november 1974, has over the years gained recognition as one of the worlds most authoritative sources for energy statistics. We asked in 2011 whether the world might be poised to enter a golden age of gas, and now it appears that global gas consumption is very close to those 2011 projections. Jun 23, 2015 the world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. Each year the international energy agency in paris publishes its world energy outlook.
An analysis of world energy outlook 2012 resilience. Our work spans a variety of programmes and initiatives, helping ensure energy security, tracking clean energy transitions, collecting data, or providing training around the world. When he did so there was one idea that the journalists in the audience latched on to that by 2020 the usa would become the world s largest oil producer. Iea world energy outlook 20 peak oil news and message boards. Energy efficiency a major factor in the global energy balance is treated in much the same way as conventional fuels.
Africa energy outlook world energy outlook special report. In addition to the traditional factors like technological. The iea 20 world energy outlook ends again in 2035. Iea warns that climate change pledges fall far short of. Energy efficiency is a measure of energy used for delivering a given service. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook.
Energy technology perspectives etp is the ieas most ambitious publication on new developments in energy technology. Iea world energy outlook 2011a comment sciencedirect. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Overview regional trends oil and gas supply investment fossilfuel subsidies and renewable energy outlook source. New iea analysis finds that globally, the oil and gas industry can feasibly reduce up to 75 percent of its current methane emissions. Iea world energy outlook 2016 special report on energy and. European commission energy 2020 the ieej outlook published by the institute of energy economics, japan provides analyses and projections of energy, environment and economy. Iea world energy outlook 20 peak oil news and message. Iea, world energy outlook total energy and climate 300 0 300 600 900 1200 1500 united states japan european union other oecd china india middle east other nonoecd sub saharan africa mtoe lowcarbon fuels fossil fuels 100 % 80 % 60 % 40 % 20% share of lowcarbon fuels, 2040.
Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. Eia, annual energy outlook 2014 and international energy outlook 2014. Natural gas use of 27 bcm in 2012 is similar both to the volume that. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. Iea world energy outlook, 2002 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 million tonnes of co2 world oecd transition economies developing countries world emissions increase by 1.
This has been realised despite the growth in world population and has been. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press. Earlier this month the iea published the world energy outlook 2016 a 667page report that dives deeply into recent developments across the energy sector and projects trends to. The iea outlook for gas center on global energy policy. And the report examines the outlook for brazils energy sector in detail and the implications for the global energy landscape. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. Sergey paltsev massachusetts institute of technology, cambridge, ma, usa. The international energy agency takes a scenarios approach. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website.
Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the iea s directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. Methane emissions must be slashed for future of climate. But the international energy agency iea, i believe, runs a greater risk of being wrong with its prediction that the us will become the world s largest oil producer by 2020 and energy independent by 2030 in their 2012 world energy outlook weo. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea.
As the worlds population grows and demand for energy services swells, the already high costs of air pollution are at risk of increasing dramatically. Choose your scenario to get your preferred outcome. Nov 19, 20 the iea world energy outlook was published the 12th of november. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040. While technology and high prices are opening up new oil resources, this does not mean the world is on the verge of an era of oil abundance. Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency alltime high oil prices acting as brake on global economy divergence in natural gas prices affecting europe with prices 5times us levels and asia 8times symptoms of an unsustainable energy system persist. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the iea s world energy outlook 2015. Consistent, accurate and timely energy data and statistics are fundamental to developing effective and efficient national energy policies, as well as a key element in longerterm planning for investment in the energy sector. Innovation can lead to the equal or greater output with less energy. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. Energyrelated air pollution leads to millions of premature deaths and costs the global economy trillions of dollars each year.
Nov 12, 2012 presenting the agencys 2012 world energy outlook in london, the ieas chief economist fatih birol told reporters that he could see a growing momentum in many countries to push the energy efficiency button, but also that energy efficiency remained an epic failure in most nations energy policies. Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. It is iea flagship publication and is the world s most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. C copenhagen accord, 2009 if we dont change our direction soon, were likely to end up where were heading. Iea world energy outlook special report 2012 iraq energy. It is rewritten annually to reflect the worlds changing energy and economy realities. Annex 3 getting electricity indicator for ece member states, 2012 30. Industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. But a friend a friend of mine at the brokerage firm of dewey, cheatem and howe lent me access to his copy. The annual energy outlook 2012 is available on the eia website at. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets.
Pdf world energy outlook and place of renewable resources. Oecdiea 20 the iea outlook for gas laszlo varro head, gas coal and power markets. The annual international energy agency iea report world energy outlook 2010 weo 2010 is a remarkable document. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030. Nov 30, 2015 the csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. The iea is committed to shaping a secure and sustainable energy future for all. Energy information administration eia, presents longterm projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2035, based on results from eias national energy modeling system nems.
Iea 2010 world energy outlook ecoglobe sustainability. The global energy map is changing in dramatic fashion, said the iea, with north america being at the forefront of a sweeping transformation in oil and gas production that will affect all regions of the world. Golden rules for a golden age of gas french download. World energy outlook report, iea, 2011 climate change is one of the greatest challenges of the present day and actions should be taken to keep any temperature increases to below 2.
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